Speed Up the Cold-Start Learning in Two-Sided Bandits with Many Arms

Abstract

Multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms are efficient approaches to reduce the opportunity cost of online experimentation and are used by companies to find the best product from periodically refreshed product catalogs. However, these algorithms face the so-called cold-start at the onset of the experiment due to a lack of knowledge of customer preferences for new products, requiring an initial data collection phase known as the burn-in period. During this period, MAB algorithms operate like randomized experiments, incurring large burn-in costs which scale with the large number of products. We attempt to reduce the burn-in by identifying that many products can be cast into two-sided products, and then naturally model the rewards of the products with a matrix, whose rows and columns represent the two sides respectively. Next, we design two-phase bandit algorithms that first use subsampling and low-rank matrix estimation to obtain a substantially smaller targeted set of products and then apply a UCB procedure on the target products to find the best one. We theoretically show that the proposed algorithms lower costs and expedite the experiment in cases when there is limited experimentation time along with a large product set. Our analysis also reveals three regimes of long, short, and ultra-short horizon experiments, depending on dimensions of the matrix. Empirical evidence from both synthetic data and a real-world dataset on music streaming services validates this superior performance.

Wanning Chen

Assistant Professor of Information Systems & Operations Management

My research interests include matrix structure, data-driven decision making, online experimentation and causal machine learning.